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Brand Monitoring is only the first step

There was an interesting article in the NY Times about brand monitoring in the New Media world. They definitely nailed the point that the explosion of New Media is already changing the way companies think about how they manage branding, customer feedback and market research. Frankly, they probably understated it – it is pretty clear to many of us in the industry that the delivery of news (and information, really) is being tackled by a truly disruptive technology and the next 5 years is going to see some really interesting developments.

They talked a lot about using technology to filter and monitor the chatter out there. They didn’t talk at all about the next, even more valuable step — engaging your markets. Filtering and monitoring is fine, but remember, the end result can give you real information you can use to engage customers and build markets for your products and services.

Blogs, boards, MySpace, etc. allow companies to create dynamic relationships with customers. Heck, I’d even call it friendships. Why sit back and simply report on what consumers are thinking when you can talk to them about it? Or how about provide some real value to the people interested in your brand by helping them find other interested people to talk to and have them all help you design products? Or reach out to those disgruntled consumers by contacting them and having them become part of your consumer-feedback inner-circle?

Prediction Market Mavens at Yahoo! Confab

I attended the Yahoo conference, Prediction Markets: Tapping the Wisdom of Crowds last Wednesday with Collective Intellect founder, John DiVirgilio at Yahoo! Headquarters in Sunnyvale, CA. It was raining but the purple walls, candy and popcorn in Yahoo! headquarters brightened up the day.

The event served as a public “how to” session on prediction markets moderated by James Surowiecki, New Yorker columnist and best-selling author of The Wisdom of Crowds. James opened with how the event was reminiscent of the glory days, where in “The Valley” different people from different companies got together to exchange ideas.

Great things always seem to happen when a diverse group of minds get together and share ideas, and that’s exactly why Yahoo started the confab series. Speakers included Robin Hanson from George Mason University, Eric Zitwewitz from Stanford, Bo Cowgill from Google, Leslie Fine from HP, David Pennock from Yahoo! and Todd Proebsting from Microsoft.

Bo Cowgill from Google spoke about the prediction market, “ Prophit” within Google that he created. He has found that social and reputational rewards work better in prediction markets and that ultimately a ranking is an extremely motivating factor. Bo concluded with a story about his project at Google, players in his prediction market were more concerned about their ranking and tee shirts than the large cash prizes awarded.

At Collective Intellect, we identify “Mavens” within the blogosphere and deliver blogosphere anomalies to our customers, mostly traders, portfolio managers and enterprise companies. We have gotten feedback from those Mavens, they seem to like being called a Maven. Social rank and recognition seems to be a motivating factor.

With Yahoo! we are working on a project to rank stock pickers with a karma rating system and post that ranking on the Yahoo Finance boards. I personally think that this will clean up the Yahoo Finance boards, discouraging the people who post garbage just to cause arguments and encouraging people to post good ideas and thoughts. Yahoo employees seemed to agree and were excited about the enhancements to the finance boards that we are working on. We will be rolling out a series of components based on member-generated content and blogosphere anomalies on the Yahoo Finance pages in the next year including an investor sentiment graph, historical sentiment graph, blogosphere anomalies and the stock picking karma rating system.

Slingboxmas

We just gave out the most ultra-hip 2006 christmas gift to the company. Check it out on my personal blog.

Finding the Mavens


Someone pointed out the following post to me from a Dr Peter Rost today. Evidently, Dr. Rost, who is an ex exec at Pfizer, was recently contacted by a hedge fund who had found his blog via our Maven identification service. Dr Rost is one of the thousands of amazing individuals Collective Intellect has identified as a “Maven”, and as such is helping to provide one more facet of transparency into subjects material to publicly traded companies.

Here’s an e-mail from this morning:

We pick up your blog as part of an information provider called Collective Intellect(www.collectiveintellect.com). Your insights ahead of the PFE analyst meeting/annoucement were well received by many of our investing clients. We try to detect information that might influence securities pricing ahead of traditional media and traditional investment research. REDACTED
Thanks for your time.

REDACTED REDACTED
Director-REDACTED
REDACTED Securities Group
REDACTED Madison Avenue
3rd FL
New York, NY 10017

Mavens are typically thought of as experts at some particular subject. We use the term a little loosely in the Malcom Gladwell Tipping Point sense. Mavens are people who have had unique and interesting insights in the past around a topic in which our customers have expressed interest, have a high probability of doing so in the future, and are connected to a network of people that will listen.

Finding these authorities can be a rather daunting programmatic exercise. After quite a bit of experimentation we’ve strung together a number of technologies including graph analysis, artificial intelligence, statistical language processing, and crowd sourcing to find the most likely credible sources. The artificial intelligence component uses the feedback loop to continuously refine that elite membership for our customers.

To put this into some perspective, about 8 out of every 100,000 posts that we pull in, pass the test of being a Collective Intellect Maven. However, of the group of sites and authors that make it to Maven status about 16 out of every 100 posts are categorized as Maven quality.

Thanks Dr. Rost for mentioning us.

Going Back To Cali…

I will be attending the Yahoo conference, Prediction Markets: Tapping the Wisdom of Crowds this Wednesday Dec 13 from 5:30pm-8pm with Collective Intellect founder, John DiVirgilio at Yahoo! Headquarters in Sunnyvale, CA.

Join Yahoo! for a public “how to” session on prediction markets moderated by James Surowiecki, New Yorker columnist and best-selling author of The Wisdom of Crowds.

Bo Cowgill from Google, Leslie Fine from HP, Todd Proebsting from Microsoft, and Dave Pennock from Yahoo! will describe how they are using prediction markets to aid corporate forecasting and decision making.

Other speakers include Chris Hibbert, the developer of Zocalo, an open source prediction market platform; Adam Siegel, the co-founder of InklingMarkets.com, a Paul Graham yCombinator startup, and Robin Hanson, the visionary economist and inventor whose pioneering work paved the way.

The event will emphasize practical lessons and hands-on advice. After brief presentations from each speaker, Surowiecki will open up the session for discussion with the audience.

Collective Intellect will be there discussing New Media projects we are doing with Yahoo! Finance.

We look forward to seeing you there!