With Collective Intellect’s technology, we have taken a leap into one of the first scientific, non-poll American Idol predicitions. By evaluating the activity level and positive/negative sentiment of posts on each contestant, we are able to quantify the likelihood of each contestant to be among the “bottom three” and ultimately predict which contestant will be voted off of the show from week to week.

As expected, Kristy Lee Cook leads the pack as the most likely to be voted off according to our data, but Syesha Mercado is within a margin of error and just as likely to be voted off.

On Kristy Lee Cook:

“And if another great singer goes home while she stays, it’s a complete crime. She can top herself every week, and still she won’t be good enough… and it’s soooo far past time to send the girl home. For the love of all that’s holy and just and right and good… Send Horsegirl HOME!“ -claena1

“My point is, Cook will definitely get voted off in the next couple weeks, so why would anyone who isn’t a direct relative watch the show with any kind of eager anticipation until that happens? It’d be like taking ‘The Apprentice’ seriously before all the minority candidates are voted off. Or taking ‘The Apprentice’ seriously ever, in retrospect.“ -Best Week Ever

Brooke White is predicted to join Kristy Lee Cook in returning to the bottom three, but will likely be saved from being sent home as the third lowest ranked contestant this week by Collective Intellect’s data. So it doesn’t look good for the women. On the otherhand, Michael Johns and Jason Castro have the softest spots, as the least likely to be voted off of the show this week.

Tags: Analyzing Consumer Generated Media, Mass Media/Culture //